⚽JetLagXI
WC 2026 is complete — this site is the archive. The model continues for the 2026–27 season as Brier FC → brierfc.com
Comparevs
Schedule comparison · group stage
United States has the easier schedule overall (12.0 vs 0.5 weighted metric points).

Travel

8,449 km✓
Total km flown
15,520 km
3 h✓
Cumulative TZ shift
13 h
4
Venue changes
✓2
25 m✓
Altitude swing
2,225 m
26°C✓
Max heat exposure
34°C
5 days✓
Min rest days
4 days
20✓
Circadian penalty (total)
27
22✓
Edge Index (0=easy, 100=hard)
63

Opponents

1780✓
Own Elo
1718
1790✓
Avg opponent Elo
1872
1866✓
Top opponent Elo
1984
7248✓
Group sum Elo
7334
45✓
Opponent difficulty (0=easy, 100=hard)
73

Predictions (Monte Carlo)

100%✓
P(top of group)
0%
100%✓
P(advance to R32)
0%
6.00✓
Expected points
0.00
0%
P(reach QF)
0%
0.0%
P(champion)
0.0%
Full breakdown →
USAUnited States
Full breakdown →
UZBUzbekistan
All 48 teams ranked →
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★ Tournament completeHow did the model actually do? Read the calibration report →