JetLagXI
WC 2026 is complete — this site is the archive. The model continues for the 2026–27 season as Brier FC → brierfc.com
Comparevs
Schedule comparison · group stage
United States has the easier schedule overall (11.0 vs 0.5 weighted metric points).

Travel

15,904 km
Total km flown
8,449 km
9 h
Cumulative TZ shift
3 h
2
Venue changes
4
1,545 m
Altitude swing
25 m
34°C
Max heat exposure
26°C
4 days
Min rest days
5 days
23
Circadian penalty (total)
20
56
Edge Index (0=easy, 100=hard)
22

Opponents

1655
Own Elo
1780
1925
Avg opponent Elo
1790
2020
Top opponent Elo
1866
7334
Group sum Elo
7248
90
Opponent difficulty (0=easy, 100=hard)
45

Predictions (Monte Carlo)

0%
P(top of group)
100%
100%
P(advance to R32)
100%
4.00
Expected points
6.00
0%
P(reach QF)
0%
0.0%
P(champion)
0.0%
Full breakdown →
CODDR Congo
Full breakdown →
USAUnited States
All 48 teams ranked →
Edge Index leaderboard
★ Tournament completeHow did the model actually do? Read the calibration report →