JetLagXI
WC 2026 is complete — this site is the archive. The model continues for the 2026–27 season as Brier FC → brierfc.com
Comparevs
Schedule comparison · group stage
United States has the easier schedule overall (7.5 vs 2.5 weighted metric points).

Travel

12,994 km
Total km flown
8,449 km
9 h
Cumulative TZ shift
3 h
4
Venue changes
4
25 m
Altitude swing
25 m
25°C
Max heat exposure
26°C
4 days
Min rest days
5 days
45
Circadian penalty (total)
20
52
Edge Index (0=easy, 100=hard)
22

Opponents

1866
Own Elo
1780
1804
Avg opponent Elo
1790
2129
Top opponent Elo
1866
6914
Group sum Elo
7248
50
Opponent difficulty (0=easy, 100=hard)
45

Predictions (Monte Carlo)

100%
P(top of group)
100%
100%
P(advance to R32)
100%
5.00
Expected points
6.00
100%
P(reach QF)
0%
0.0%
P(champion)
0.0%
Full breakdown →
BELBelgium
Full breakdown →
USAUnited States
All 48 teams ranked →
Edge Index leaderboard
★ Tournament completeHow did the model actually do? Read the calibration report →