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Schedule comparison · group stage
Mexico has the easier schedule overall (12.0 vs 1.0 weighted metric points).
Travel
MexicoMetric
United States966 km✓
Total km flown
6,810 km
0 h✓
Cumulative TZ shift
3 h
2
Venue changes
2
680 m
Altitude swing
✓25 m
27°C
Max heat exposure
✓25°C
6 days
Min rest days
6 days
11✓
Circadian penalty (total)
12
0✓
Edge Index (0=easy, 100=hard)
20
Opponents
MexicoMetric
United States1868✓
Own Elo
1733
1669✓
Avg opponent Elo
1838
1756✓
Top opponent Elo
1906
6874✓
Group sum Elo
7247
19✓
Opponent difficulty (0=easy, 100=hard)
67
Predictions (Monte Carlo)
MexicoMetric
United States54%✓
P(top of group)
42%
96%✓
P(advance to R32)
93%
6.26✓
Expected points
5.32
26%✓
P(reach QF)
14%
1.6%✓
P(champion)
0.3%
Full breakdown →
MexicoFull breakdown →
United StatesAll 48 teams ranked →
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